Assuming he wins with Florida bookmakers’ short odds as Mar-a-Lago gets raided, DeathSantis will kill Democracy in 2024 because Hunter Biden appears to be a greater danger than Trump. We are truly in the silly season with predictive measures. Trump is pleading the Fifth in his New York deposition, claiming absurdly that the raid on Mar-a-Lago influenced his decision. The better bet is some Florida Man threatening violence.
The current Governor of Florida has seen his odds to be the Next President shorten the last few months, which put him just behind former President Trump and ahead of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in terms of betting favorites.
Oddsmakers did briefly shorten their Ron DeSantis President 2024 odds enough to push Governor DeSantis into the favorite spot for a few days at the end of June and beginning of July but currently Donald Trump odds are 3 to 1 (+300) to win in 2024, which carries an implied probability of 25% and places the former President as the betting favorite.
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Ladbrokes Sportsbook offers a unique betting market for Ron DeSantis specifically, which implies Governor DeSantis has a 33.3% chance to be President by 2033. That means the former Congressman and current Governor would have to run for the White House and win in either 2024, 2028 or 2032.
Worth noting, DeSantis is currently running for re-election as Florida Governor against Democrat Nikki Fried. Should he secure a second term in November, many think DeSantis will skip the 2024 race and a showdown with Trump, eventually setting him up to run in either 2028 or 2032.
www.floridabet.com/...
Lawyers Tristan Snell and Andrew Weissmann both noted that because the New York Attorney General is doing a civil case into Trump, the fact that he pleaded the Fifth is a bit of information that the court can use to assume there's liability involved on his part. He said that it was something that Attorney General Letitia James actually was hoping for.
www.rawstory.com/...
What’s clear is that the confluence of circumstances put Trump somewhat between a rock and a hard place. Given the concurrent criminal and civil investigations he’s involved in New York, it seemed rather obvious and probably advisable that he would plead the Fifth (notwithstanding his past commentary on such things) to avoid divulging potentially revealing information that could be used against him in the former case. Indeed, defendants often concede in such cases that an indictment is imminent so the civil case can be delayed. But declining to testify in a civil case can hurt his cause there — even beyond the perception (oft promoted by Trump himself) that he’s being evasive.
But while the concurrent investigations put Trump in a bad spot, the judge took a quite-different view of how they work in concert with one another. Judge Arthur Engoron said those under investigation “cannot use the Fifth Amendment as both a sword and a shield — a shield against questions and a sword against the investigation itself.”
Engoron added that Trump and his children “will have the right to refuse to answer any questions that they claim might incriminate them, and that refusal may not be commented on or used against them in a criminal prosecution. However, there is no unfairness in allowing the jurors in a civil case to know these refusals and to draw their own conclusions.”